Today, President Obama threw out his latest volleys on the
debt ceiling, stating in part:
"The debt ceiling is not a question of authorizing more
spending. Raising the debt ceiling does
not authorize more spending. It simply
allows the country to pay for spending that Congress has already committed
to." Source: Washington
Post.
The Treasury Department has issued a policy document echoing similar sentiment: Debt Limit Myth v. Fact, stating in part:
"The debt limit is the total amount of money that the United States
government is authorized to borrow to meet its existing legal obligations . . .
Failing to increase the debt limit would have catastrophic economic
consequences. It would cause the government to default on its legal obligations
– an unprecedented event in American history."
What is this debt
limit crisis?
Not being one to accept presumptions of disaster at face
value, I have looked into the function of the debt ceiling to determine the
legitimacy of the above sweeping claims.
Below are my results:
·
Having found no indication otherwise I accept
that raising the debt ceiling does not directly authorize more spending.
·
Paying already incurred debts appears
reasonable, the devil is in the details of the definition of "already
incurred."
·
Raising the debt ceiling not only allows the
payment of obligations already incurred, but also allows the payment of
obligations already approved by Congress and the President, but not yet spent ["ongoing
obligations"]. For example, if the
debt ceiling is sufficiently raised then the executive branch could effectively
pay for obligations in February, March, April, May, June, etc. of 2013. The Debt Limit: History and
Recent Increases p. 4.
·
Not raising the debt ceiling does not cause an
automatic default on the nation's debts.
The Treasury Department has about $42 billion in its bank account from
which it continues funding ongoing obligations.
Daily
Treasury Statement.
·
In order to illustrate current spending, the
numbers from November 2012 are telling. The
federal government spends approximately $11 billion dollars per day, while
bringing in an approximately $5 billion per day, resulting in a daily deficit
of about $6 billion. "How
Much does the Government Spend Every Day?"
·
The current debt subject to the limit is $16.393975
trillion, the current debt limit is $16.394
trillion.
Based on the foregoing:
The crisis time for
raising the debt limit is now.
Based on the reports form the treasury the debt limit has
been maxed out. With $42 billion in
funds, and a $6 billion dollar per day deficit, we have about one week until
ongoing obligations begin to go unpaid.
Nonetheless, there appears to be a jump in the debt subject to limit as
of late December as reflected in this chart:
This has the makings of a manufactured crisis.
Not all ongoing
obligations will remain unpaid
As the treasury will continue to bring in revenue, and pay
some of its obligations, it is not that every recipient of the government will
go unpaid. Instead, the Treasury will
have to decide which recipients to pay and which to delay payment until some later
deal is reached on the debt limit.
The debt ceiling was
created for the express purpose of reigning in government spending
The debt limit also
provides Congress with the strings to control the federal purse, allowing
Congress to assert its constitutional prerogatives to control spending. The debt limit also imposes a form of fiscal
accountability that compels Congress and the President to take visible action
to allow further federal borrowing when the federal government spends more than
it collects in revenues. The Debt Limit: History and
Recent Increases p. 6.
The debt ceiling was not created as a formality. The debt ceiling instead was the result of a
compromise during World War I to finance our entry into the war. Congress retained power over setting the debt
limit as part of its assertion over its constitutional powers of the purse, of
taxation, and the initiation of war. The Debt Limit: History and
Recent Increases p. 7. In fact, our
current President, while a legislator (in additional to many current Senate
Democrats), thought
controlling the debt limit was an important tool to curtail executive
power.
The ultimate result:
President Obama does not actually believe the fear mongering
about default coming from our Treasury Department.
More importantly, President Obama actually meant to say in
today's news conference:
"The debt ceiling is not a question of authorizing more
spending [on already incurred obligations].
Raising the debt ceiling does not authorize more spending [on already
incurred obligations]. It simply allows
the country to pay for spending that Congress has already committed to [with
the understanding that spending cuts would be forthcoming and the power to rein
in spending with the debt limit would remain a tool available to Congress]."
Congress needs to stand their ground and hold out for the
cuts promised in August 2011.
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